2016 vs. 2015 Draft

In a feat of pure will, Matt Miller of NFL Draft Scout, has evaluated all 400+ draft-worthy players and assigned them a score between 0 and 10.  He kindly shared his GoogleDoc on Twitter, which allowed me to generate the following breakdown of his grades by year:

Clearly, there's a lot of separation in grades by year, particularly in the middle rounds (2-5).  In fact, player in 2016 are expected to be 0.32 points (99% Confidence: 0.29-0.35) higher than those of a comparable rank in 2015. We could follow a similar procedure for quarterbacks, and we find the mean difference is 0.55 points (99% CI: .34-.76) between the same ranked signal-callers from 2016 and 2015.

As many have observed, this draft does appear to be much deeper than last years.  We'll be working up more positional comparisons in the days leading up to the draft, so follow or check back often.