SAVVAGE scores for 2017

Using a logistic regression model based on historical data of combine results and subsequent pro-bowl selections, it was determined that the probability of achieving a pro-bowl can be estimated from combine height, weight, vertical leap, and forty-yard dash times for any incoming tight-end combine participant.  The resulting score (0-100%) is known as the Size Adjusted Vertical and Velocity Greatness Estimate (SAVVAGE).  Though it is still in the validation phase, the predetermined 6% threshold was found to predict both Travis Kelce and Tyler Eifert as future pro-bowlers.

So here are the numbers for the 2017 draft class:

Name Hgt Wgt Dash Vert High-Pt Avg_P      SAVVAGE Engram, Evan 75.0 234 4.42 36 111.0 52.94 2.8% Howard, O.J. 78.0 251 4.51 30 108 55.65 5.4% Kittle, George 76.0 247 4.52 35 111 54.65 6.7% Daniels, Darrell 75.0 247 4.55 32 107 54.29 2.1% Hodges, Bucky 78.0 257 4.57 39 117 56.24 43.4% Everett, Gerald 75.0 239 4.62 37.5 112.5 51.73 2.2% Smith, Jonnu 75.0 248 4.62 38 113 53.68 6.6% Njoku, David 76.0 246 4.64 37.5 113.5 53.02 5.4% Carter, Cethan 75.0 241 4.68 ? ? 51.50 [ < 6%] Sprinkle, Jeremy 77.0 252 4.69 29 106 53.73 1.2% Shaheen, Adam 78.0 278 4.79 32.5 110.5 58.04 27.7% Orndoff, Scott 77.0 253 4.84 27 104 52.27 0.3% Roberts, Michael 76.0 270 4.86 30 106 55.56 3.2% Plinke, Hayden 76.0 264 4.97 28 104 53.12 0.5%

As compared to last year's prospects, this TE class looks much more athletic, with four of the fourteen participants looking like future pro-bowlers.  It's fairly safe to say that Cethan Carter does not project as a future pro-bowler because he needs a 42.5 inch vertical to crack the 6% threshold. If any notable tight-end hopefuls are missing that you'd like to evaluate their pro-bowl potential or would like to speculate on missing measurements or added weight, you can use the calculator on this site.  Since these results are adjusted for size, a little added weight can make a big difference.